At last, we have arrived at that holiest of High Holy Days: the actual day of the Oscars. I’m so excited, I don’t have the words. Just imagine me flapping my hands wildly and making a noise a lot like “squee.” For six or more hours.

And, as promised, I have my Actual Oscars Picks. There’s still time to lock in your bets at your local sportsbook or oddsmaker. I have arranged my picks in a confidence list, according to Jeff Bayer’s yearly Oscar Bowling game. This is the fourth year I’ve played, because I’m obsessed.  My scores for previous years go like this:

2011: 232
2012: 224
2013: 249

So I’m coming off my best year ever, and I didn’t even write five blog posts in a week breaking down each individual category last year. Fingers crossed this is the year I break 250.

24- Visual Effects: Gravity
23- Cinematography: Gravity
22- Supporting Actor: Jared Leto
21- Actress: Cate Blanchett
20- Director: Alfonso Cuaron
19- Makeup and Hairstyling: Dallas Buyers Club
18- Original Song: Let it Go
17- Animated Film: Frozen
16- Documentary Short: The lady in #6: music saved my life
15- Adapted Screenplay: 12 Years a Slave
14- Score: Gravity
13- Actor: Matthew McConaughey
12- Production Design: Gravity
11- Costumes: The Great Gatsby
10- Sound Mixing: Gravity
9- Sound Editing: Gravity
8- Foreign Language: The Great Beauty
7- Editing: Captain Phillips
6- Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyong’o
5- Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave
4- Original Screenplay: Her
3- Documentary: The Act of Killing
2- Live Action Short: The Voorman Problem
1- Animated Short: Get a Horse!